Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 24.089288 27.388905 30.996135 35.235745 40.086686 45.469069 51.901320
2025-01-05 18.850217 23.246382 28.473038 35.159959 43.510023 53.621674 66.839638
2025-01-12 15.052091 19.807746 25.855214 34.141336 45.250870 59.703137 80.047689
2025-01-19 12.602215 17.502833 24.093751 33.658726 47.275008 66.097112 94.322545
2025-01-26 11.301490 16.453181 23.730003 34.838288 51.512297 75.838921 114.440411
2025-02-02 10.410339 15.805176 23.766472 36.483829 56.506789 87.181015 138.423718
2025-02-09 9.412375 14.833586 23.152247 36.991543 59.736579 96.150413 159.885892
2025-02-16 8.320729 13.558994 21.883395 36.248480 60.791518 101.685835 176.370730
2025-02-23 7.433921 12.493997 20.800162 35.629482 61.898352 107.334536 193.691536
2025-03-02 6.708519 11.604902 19.889807 35.160763 63.148323 113.295442 212.279369
2025-03-09 6.159021 10.950272 19.294452 35.150015 65.170484 120.811704 234.713312
2025-03-16 5.660063 10.326126 18.676250 35.006487 66.894948 127.931358 257.295380
2025-03-23 5.385880 10.098139 18.777717 36.280274 71.602305 141.579333 295.531429
2025-03-30 5.005525 9.630424 18.384750 36.558659 74.402974 151.881028 328.536545
2025-04-06 4.526384 8.918344 17.443863 35.625536 74.603398 156.879961 350.842561
2025-04-13 4.155784 8.378823 16.778917 35.167388 75.720571 163.915193 378.734567
2025-04-20 3.995173 8.247187 16.919252 36.420154 80.700287 180.016376 430.260944
2025-04-27 3.889333 8.216839 17.262840 38.150969 86.969580 199.864044 494.070204
2025-05-04 3.685280 7.954027 17.082596 38.685568 90.546557 213.939993 545.791260
2025-05-11 3.393882 7.469568 16.368556 37.907759 90.904655 220.349643 578.745056
2025-05-18 3.140469 7.044094 15.741490 37.259393 91.491326 227.392076 614.543554
2025-05-25 2.921745 6.675667 15.206137 36.768318 92.406072 235.382645 654.285671
2025-06-01 2.754335 6.409807 14.881276 36.757099 94.547811 246.847748 705.825532